Forecasting the Fallout from AMR: Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance in Food-Producing Animals

Birhanu A. Adamie; Holy T. Akwar; Montserrat Arroyo; Heather  Bayko; Marco Hafner; Stella Harrison; Morgan Jeannin; Deborah King; Sohwon Eweon; Nohkyum Daniel Kyeong; Fifi Olumogba; Ishmeala Rigby; Shinae Joy Song; Erez Yerushalmi; Javier Yugueros-Marcos; Sana Zakaria

Forecasting the Fallout from AMR: Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance in Food-Producing Animals

Birhanu A. Adamie, Holy T. Akwar, Montserrat Arroyo, Heather Bayko, Marco Hafner, Stella Harrison, Morgan Jeannin, Deborah King, Sohwon Eweon, Nohkyum Daniel Kyeong, Fifi Olumogba, Ishmeala Rigby, Shinae Joy Song, Erez Yerushalmi, Javier Yugueros-Marcos, Sana Zakaria

Research output: Book/Report › Commissioned report › peer-review

Abstract

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a silent pandemic that must be curbed via a multidisciplinary, multi-sectoral One Health approach, backed by political will, government commitment and public–private partnerships. This global threat affects the health of humans, animals and plants. Using a One Health approach, this EcoAMR study provides current estimates and up-to-date predictions of the health and economic burdens associated with AMR in humans and livestock, to facilitate policy action.

EcoAMR findings underscore the severe threat caused by AMR if no action is taken. Forecasts for 2025–2050 show that 38.5 million human deaths will be associated with bacterial AMR. Moreover, the global health care costs of AMR could rise to US$ 159 billion a year by 2050. In the animal sector, cumulative global gross domestic product (GDP) loss due to AMR in livestock is predicted to be US$ 575 billion by 2050. These multi-sectoral results provide strong evidence that calls for urgent action to curb AMR.

Original language	English
Publisher	World Organisation for Animal health (WOAH)
Commissioning body	World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH)
Number of pages	170
Publication status	Published (VoR) - 26 Sept 2024

Keywords

Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model
antimicrobial
macroeconomic modeling
Health economics

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https://www.woah.org/app/uploads/2024/09/ecoamr-woah-animal-sector-web-reduced-23924.pdfLicence: CC BY-NC-SA

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Adamie, B. A., Akwar, H. T., Arroyo, M., Bayko, H., Hafner, M., Harrison, S., Jeannin, M., King, D., Eweon, S., Kyeong, N. D., Olumogba, F., Rigby, I., Song, S. J., Yerushalmi, E., Yugueros-Marcos, J., & Zakaria, S. (2024). Forecasting the Fallout from AMR: Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance in Food-Producing Animals. World Organisation for Animal health (WOAH). https://www.woah.org/app/uploads/2024/09/ecoamr-woah-animal-sector-web-reduced-23924.pdf

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title = "Forecasting the Fallout from AMR: Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance in Food-Producing Animals",

abstract = "Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a silent pandemic that must be curbed via a multidisciplinary, multi-sectoral One Health approach, backed by political will, government commitment and public–private partnerships. This global threat affects the health of humans, animals and plants. Using a One Health approach, this EcoAMR study provides current estimates and up-to-date predictions of the health and economic burdens associated with AMR in humans and livestock, to facilitate policy action.EcoAMR findings underscore the severe threat caused by AMR if no action is taken. Forecasts for 2025–2050 show that 38.5 million human deaths will be associated with bacterial AMR. Moreover, the global health care costs of AMR could rise to US$ 159 billion a year by 2050. In the animal sector, cumulative global gross domestic product (GDP) loss due to AMR in livestock is predicted to be US$ 575 billion by 2050. These multi-sectoral results provide strong evidence that calls for urgent action to curb AMR.",

keywords = "Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, antimicrobial, macroeconomic modeling, Health economics",

author = "Adamie, {Birhanu A.} and Akwar, {Holy T.} and Montserrat Arroyo and Heather Bayko and Marco Hafner and Stella Harrison and Morgan Jeannin and Deborah King and Sohwon Eweon and Kyeong, {Nohkyum Daniel} and Fifi Olumogba and Ishmeala Rigby and Song, {Shinae Joy} and Erez Yerushalmi and Javier Yugueros-Marcos and Sana Zakaria",

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Adamie, BA, Akwar, HT, Arroyo, M, Bayko, H, Hafner, M, Harrison, S, Jeannin, M, King, D, Eweon, S, Kyeong, ND, Olumogba, F, Rigby, I, Song, SJ, Yerushalmi, E, Yugueros-Marcos, J & Zakaria, S 2024, Forecasting the Fallout from AMR: Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance in Food-Producing Animals. World Organisation for Animal health (WOAH). <https://www.woah.org/app/uploads/2024/09/ecoamr-woah-animal-sector-web-reduced-23924.pdf>

TY - BOOK

T1 - Forecasting the Fallout from AMR: Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance in Food-Producing Animals

AU - Adamie, Birhanu A.

AU - Akwar, Holy T.

AU - Arroyo, Montserrat

AU - Bayko, Heather

AU - Hafner, Marco

AU - Harrison, Stella

AU - Jeannin, Morgan

AU - King, Deborah

AU - Eweon, Sohwon

AU - Kyeong, Nohkyum Daniel

AU - Olumogba, Fifi

AU - Rigby, Ishmeala

AU - Song, Shinae Joy

AU - Yerushalmi, Erez

AU - Yugueros-Marcos, Javier

AU - Zakaria, Sana

PY - 2024/9/26

Y1 - 2024/9/26

N2 - Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a silent pandemic that must be curbed via a multidisciplinary, multi-sectoral One Health approach, backed by political will, government commitment and public–private partnerships. This global threat affects the health of humans, animals and plants. Using a One Health approach, this EcoAMR study provides current estimates and up-to-date predictions of the health and economic burdens associated with AMR in humans and livestock, to facilitate policy action.EcoAMR findings underscore the severe threat caused by AMR if no action is taken. Forecasts for 2025–2050 show that 38.5 million human deaths will be associated with bacterial AMR. Moreover, the global health care costs of AMR could rise to US$ 159 billion a year by 2050. In the animal sector, cumulative global gross domestic product (GDP) loss due to AMR in livestock is predicted to be US$ 575 billion by 2050. These multi-sectoral results provide strong evidence that calls for urgent action to curb AMR.

AB - Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a silent pandemic that must be curbed via a multidisciplinary, multi-sectoral One Health approach, backed by political will, government commitment and public–private partnerships. This global threat affects the health of humans, animals and plants. Using a One Health approach, this EcoAMR study provides current estimates and up-to-date predictions of the health and economic burdens associated with AMR in humans and livestock, to facilitate policy action.EcoAMR findings underscore the severe threat caused by AMR if no action is taken. Forecasts for 2025–2050 show that 38.5 million human deaths will be associated with bacterial AMR. Moreover, the global health care costs of AMR could rise to US$ 159 billion a year by 2050. In the animal sector, cumulative global gross domestic product (GDP) loss due to AMR in livestock is predicted to be US$ 575 billion by 2050. These multi-sectoral results provide strong evidence that calls for urgent action to curb AMR.

KW - Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model

KW - antimicrobial

KW - macroeconomic modeling

KW - Health economics

UR - https://www.woah.org/en/document/forecasting-the-fallout-from-amr-economic-impacts-of-antimicrobial-resistance-in-food-producing-animals/

UR - https://www.open-access.bcu.ac.uk/15924/

UR - https://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP70657.html

M3 - Commissioned report

BT - Forecasting the Fallout from AMR: Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance in Food-Producing Animals

PB - World Organisation for Animal health (WOAH)

ER -

Forecasting the Fallout from AMR: Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance in Food-Producing Animals

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Keywords

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