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Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017

  • GBD 2017 HIV collaborators
    • University of Washington
    • Tehran University of Medical Sciences
    • Weill Cornell Medical College in Qatar, Education City
    • Arba Minch University
    • Hamedan University of Medical Sciences and Health Services
    • University of Ibadan
    • Cardiff University
    • University of Stellenbosch
    • South African Medical Research Council
    • Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences
    • University of Lincoln
    • Tabriz University of Medical Sciences
    • Baku State University
    • Jimma University Ethiopia
    • Bahar Dar University
    • Mayo Clinic Rochester, MN
    • Queensland Health Pathology Service
    • Woldia University
    • Addis Ababa University
    • Gondar University
    • Australian National University
    • Iran University of Medical Sciences
    • Universidad de Cartagena
    • Universidad de la Costa
    • Arak University of Medical Sciences
    • Mansoura University
    • Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences
    • University of the Philippines
    • Hong Kong Polytechnic University
    • Mekelle University
    • Bénin Clinical Research Institute (IRCB)
    • Laboratory of Studies and Research-Action in Health
    • Indian Institute of Public Health
    • Public Health Foundation of India
    • Wolaita Sodo University
    • University of Health and Allied Sciences
    • Public Health Agency of Canada
    • University of Toronto
    • Sharif University of Technology
    • Medical University of Łódź
    • Institute of Polish Mother's Health Center
    • Clinical Center of Serbia
    • University of Belgrade
    • Heidelberg University 
    • Harvard University
    • Imperial College London
    • Gandhi Medical College
    • Jazan University
    • Social Determinants of Health Research Center
    • Mizan-Tepi University
    • ACS Medical College and Hospital
    • AC Environments Foundation
    • Wollo University
    • University of Massachusetts Medical School
    • National Institute of Biomedical Genomics
    • University of Calcutta
    • Babol University of Medical Sciences
    • University of Dhaka
    • Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology
    • HTC Chemrar
    • Haramaya University
    • Employees’ State Insurance Model Hospital
    • University of British Columbia
    • Al-Shifa Trust Eye Hospital
    • Center for Health Systems Research
    • Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica
    • University of the Valley of Cuernavaca
    • University of Porto
    • University of Alberta
    • Christian Medical College
    • Hanoi National University of Education
    • Food Ingredient and Health Research Institute
    • Ahmadu Bello University
    • Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences
    • University of New South Wales
    • St. Paul‘s Hospital Millennium Medical College
    • Ambo University
    • Aksum University
    • Brighton and Sussex Medical School
    • Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai
    • Far Western University
    • Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
    • Universidad Autonoma de Sinaloa
    • Iranian Ministry of Health and Medical Education
    • Nguyen Tat Thanh University
    • United Nations World Food Programme
    • Wollega University
    • Hawassa University
    • University of Newcastle
    • Maragheh University of Medical Sciences
    • Cairo University
    • Karolinska Institutet
    • Simon Fraser University
    • Aga Khan University
    • Kaiser Permanente
    • Kirksville College of Osteopathic Medicine
    • Bielefeld University
    • Obafemi Awolowo University
    • Abadan University of Medical Sciences
    • Cancer Institute (W.I.A.)
    • Kobe University
    • Manhiça Health Research Center
    • Barcelona Institute for Global Health
    • Tigray Health Research Institute
    • Flinders University
    • University of KwaZulu-Natal
    • Saint James School of Medicine
    • Universidade Federal de Goiás
    • Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences
    • Johns Hopkins University
    • Hamdan Bin Mohammed Smart University
    • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
    • University of Zagreb
    • Madda Walabu University
    • University of Antwerp
    • Yeshiva University
    • University of Human Development
    • Université de Tunis El Manar
    • Bashkir State Medical University
    • George Mason University
    • Banaras Hindu University
    • Capital Medical University
    • Social Determinants of Health Research Center
    • University College Cork
    • The London School of Economics and Political Science
    • Debre Markos University
    • Utrecht University
    • Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research and Epidemiology
    • University of Cape Town
    • Jordan University of Science and Technology
    • Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences
    • University of Management and Technology
    • Health Services Academy
    • United Arab Emirates University
    • International Institute for Population Sciences
    • Seoul National University
    • Sheffield Hallam University
    • Ohio University
    • Al-Imam Muhammad Ibn Saud Islamic University
    • Lund University
    • Xiamen University
    • Kristiania University College
    • University of South Carolina
    • Oslo Metropolitan University
    • Erasmus University Rotterdam
    • Neurophysiology Research Center
    • Institute for Research for Fundamental Sciences
    • Sher-I-Kashmir Institute of Medical Sciences
    • CIBERSAM
    • ICREA
    • University of Montreal
    • University of Nairobi
    • University College London
    • St. John of God Hospital
    • Damietta University
    • National Center for the Prevention and Control of HIV and AIDS
    • University of Trnava
    • Shiraz University of Medical Sciences
    • University of Manitoba
    • University of Zambia
    • Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology of Ceará
    • Botho University
    • Hanoi Medical University
    • Seven Hills Hospital
    • University West of Florida
    • Ministry of Health, Saudi Arabia
    • College of Medicine Alfaisal University
    • United Nations
    • University of Helsinki
    • Clinical Microbiology and Parasitology Unit
    • University North
    • Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation
    • Curtin University
    • Frankfurt University of Applied Sciences
    • Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences
    • University of Salahaddin
    • Ishik University
    • King Saud University
    • Tarbiat Modarres University
    • Samara University
    • Birjand University of Medical Sciences
    • National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
    • Academy of Athens
    • Nishtar Medical University
    • Institute of Mother & Child Care
    • Research and Analytics Department
    • Bioinsilico Technologies
    • University of Alabama at Birmingham
    • Duy Tan University
    • Semarang State University
    • Taipei Medical University
    • University of Social Welfare and Rehabilitation Sciences
    • Monash University
    • Western Sydney University
    • Human Sciences Research Council South Africa
    • University of Namibia
    • McMaster University
    • University of Lagos
    • Gulu University
    • Ghent University
    • University of Ghana
    • San Diego State University
    • Health Technology Assessment Association
    • JSS Academy of Higher Education & Research
    • Manipal Academy of Higher Education
    • University of Ottawa
    • Qazvin University of Medical Sciences
    • Jönköping University
    • Population Council
    • IIHMR University, Jaipur
    • Ateneo de Manila University
    • New York University
    • Alborz University of Medical Sciences
    • Amirkabir University of Technology
    • A.T. Still University
    • Medichem
    • Contech School of Public Health
    • Sweidi Hospital
    • North-West University
    • Policy Research Institute
    • Yonsei University, Wonju
    • Public Health England
    • Loma Linda University Health
    • Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology
    • University of Pretoria
    • National Institutes of Health
    • Nihon Gakko University
    • University of Sassari
    • All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi
    • Stanford University
    • Ain Shams University
    • London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    • Utkal University
    • Udyam-Global Association for Sustainable Development
    • University of North Carolina at Charlotte
    • An-Najah National University
    • Chronic Diseases (Home Care) Research Center
    • Kerman University of Medical Sciences
    • King's College London
    • Emory University
    • Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina
    • Universidade de Brasília
    • Ministério da Saúde do Brasil
    • Næstved-Slagelse-Ringsted Hospitals
    • German Leprosy and TB Relief Association
    • Kharkiv National Medical University
    • University of Calgary
    • Federal Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of the Ministry of Health (FRIHOI)
    • Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences
    • University of California at Irvine
    • Aksum University College of Health Science
    • Egas Moniz - Cooperative of Higher Education, CRL
    • University of Lisbon
    • University of Southern Denmark
    • James Cook University Queensland
    • Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia
    • Universidade de São Paulo
    • The University of Auckland
    • Vietnam Military Medical University
    • Gomal University
    • Mufti Mehmood Memorial Teaching Hospital
    • The University of Warwick
    • Ilam University of Medical Sciences
    • Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University
    • Foundation University Medical College
    • Federal Institute for Population Research
    • University of Melbourne
    • National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry Kodaira
    • Ohio State University
    • Université de Kinshasa
    • Wuhan University
    • University Hospital of Setif

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    478 Citations (SciVal)
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)e831-e859
    JournalThe Lancet HIV
    Volume6
    Issue number12
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished (VoR) - Dec 2019

    Funding

    Research reported in this publication was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the National Institute on Aging (NIA) of the NIH (award P30AG047845), and the National Institute of Mental Health of the NIH (award R01MH110163). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation or the NIH. We thank Jeffery W Eaton from Imperial College London for the thoughtful feedback on an earlier version of this report. L J Abu-Raddad acknowledges the support of the Qatar National Research Fund (NPRP 9-040-3-008) who provided the main funding for generating the data provided to the GBD and Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation effort. A Awasthi acknowledges funding support from the Department of Science and Technology, Government of India through the INSPIRE Faculty scheme. T B?rnighausen acknowledges support by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research; the Wellcome Trust; and from National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) of NIH (R01-HD084233), NIA of NIH (P01-AG041710), National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) of NIH (R01-AI124389 and R01-AI112339), and Fogarty International Center (FIC) of NIH (D43-TW009775). A Badawi acknowledges the support of the Public Health Agency of Canada. A Barac acknowledges support for research from the Project of Ministry of Education, Science and Technology of the Republic of Serbia (No. III45005). M S Bin Sayeed acknowledges support from the Australian Government Research and Training Scholarship for PhD degree at the Australian National University, Australia. F Carvalho acknowledges UID/MULTI/04378/2019 and UID/QUI/50006/2019 support with funding from Funda??o para a Ci?ncia e a Tecnologia, Minist?rio da Ci?ncia, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior through national funds. J W De Neve acknowledges support by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation. L Degenhardt acknowledges support by Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Fellowships (1135991, 1041742) and is supported by National Institute on Drug Abuse of NIH grants (R01DA1104470). D Demissie acknowledges support from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. K Deribe acknowledges support from the Wellcome Trust (grant number 201900) as part of his International Intermediate Fellowship. A P Kengne acknowledges support from the South African Medical Research Council. Y J Kim acknowledges support from the Office of Research and Innovation, Xiamen University Malaysia. M Kumar acknowledges support from the FIC of the NIH (K43TW010716). O Oladimeji acknowledges support from the Human Sciences Research Council, South Africa, FIC of the NIH, and the University of Namibia. A M Samy acknowledges support from a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. A E Schutte acknowledges financial support from the South African Medical Research Council and National Research Foundation SARChI Research Programme. K Shibuya acknowledges support and grants from Japan Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, and grants from King's College London during the conduct of the study. N Taveira acknowledges partial funding by Funda??o para a Ci?ncia e Tecnologia, Portugal, and Aga Khan Development Network - Portugal Collaborative Research Network in Portuguese speaking countries in Africa (project 332821690) and by the European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership (project RIA2016MC-1615). S Topp acknowledges support by Rising Star Early Career Researcher Award from James Cook University, QLD, Australia and a National Health and Medical Research Council Hot North Career Development Fellowship. M Yotebieng acknowledges partial support from the NIAID of NIH (U01AI096299) and NICHD of the NIH (R01H087993). Research reported in this publication was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation , the National Institute on Aging (NIA) of the NIH ( award P30AG047845 ), and the National Institute of Mental Health of the NIH ( award R01MH110163 ). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation or the NIH. We thank Jeffery W Eaton from Imperial College London for the thoughtful feedback on an earlier version of this report. L J Abu-Raddad acknowledges the support of the Qatar National Research Fund ( NPRP 9-040-3-008 ) who provided the main funding for generating the data provided to the GBD and Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation effort. A Awasthi acknowledges funding support from the Department of Science and Technology, Government of India through the INSPIRE Faculty scheme. T Bärnighausen acknowledges support by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation through the Alexander von Humboldt Professor award, funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research; the Wellcome Trust; and from National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) of NIH ( R01-HD084233 ), NIA of NIH ( P01-AG041710 ), National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) of NIH ( R01-AI124389 and R01-AI112339 ), and Fogarty International Center (FIC) of NIH ( D43-TW009775 ). A Badawi acknowledges the support of the Public Health Agency of Canada. A Barac acknowledges support for research from the Project of Ministry of Education, Science and Technology of the Republic of Serbia ( No. III45005 ). M S Bin Sayeed acknowledges support from the Australian Government Research and Training Scholarship for PhD degree at the Australian National University, Australia. F Carvalho acknowledges UID/MULTI/04378/2019 and UID/QUI/50006/2019 support with funding from Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior through national funds. J W De Neve acknowledges support by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation. L Degenhardt acknowledges support by Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Fellowships ( 1135991 , 1041742 ) and is supported by National Institute on Drug Abuse of NIH grants ( R01DA1104470 ). D Demissie acknowledges support from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. K Deribe acknowledges support from the Wellcome Trust ( grant number 201900 ) as part of his International Intermediate Fellowship. A P Kengne acknowledges support from the South African Medical Research Council. Y J Kim acknowledges support from the Office of Research and Innovation, Xiamen University Malaysia. M Kumar acknowledges support from the FIC of the NIH ( K43TW010716 ). O Oladimeji acknowledges support from the Human Sciences Research Council, South Africa, FIC of the NIH, and the University of Namibia. A M Samy acknowledges support from a fellowship from the Egyptian Fulbright Mission Program. A E Schutte acknowledges financial support from the South African Medical Research Council and National Research Foundation SARChI Research Programme. K Shibuya acknowledges support and grants from Japan Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, and grants from King's College London during the conduct of the study. N Taveira acknowledges partial funding by Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia, Portugal, and Aga Khan Development Network - Portugal Collaborative Research Network in Portuguese speaking countries in Africa (project 332821690) and by the European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership ( project RIA2016MC-1615 ). S Topp acknowledges support by Rising Star Early Career Researcher Award from James Cook University, QLD, Australia and a National Health and Medical Research Council Hot North Career Development Fellowship. M Yotebieng acknowledges partial support from the NIAID of NIH ( U01AI096299 ) and NICHD of the NIH ( R01H087993 ).

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